Today the S&P 500 Index has re-established a long term Upward trend. It has crossed above a trend momentum measure of, at or above, a 10% annualized rate of growth over a 200 day ma. Additionally today, it is trading above last weeks high.
Which do you like? The 10 year US Treasury Note today is yielding 2.13%, and many around the world are 0%.
So we’ll see how the day and the week close.
Trend following uses price action, and ignores news, tweets, FaceBook, hot tips, stock and economics “fundamentals”, and bubblevision (television).
the index is trying to rally
To begin to re-establish a long term Upward trend, we want to see it overcome the S/R (Support and resistance price level) of the High of last week – $2,841. This will help to show us that The Fed tweet is more than a short covering rally. Currently the Index is trading below a 10% annualized rate of growth over a 200 day ma.
Stock chart of the S&P 500 index
Trend following the Consumer Staples Select Sector Index $IXR $XLP $NEED .. another in a series of routine Weekly Breakouts. The Index is trading at or in excess of a 15% annualized growth rate over a 200 day ma.
stock chart of the Consumer Staples Select Sector Index
Trend following The S&P 500 Index today, trading at $2,811 at the moment, is trading under last month’s low of $2,848 and under last week’s low of $2,825, but above a major Price Reversal of $2,799 on the Weekly as shown on the stock chart below. If it rejects this level, and then closes higher on the Weekly, that will be a long term Bullish…aka BTD, or “Buy The Dip”.
S&P 500 Index Weekly
trading well under Reversals
Trend following the Dow Jones Industrials Index $DJI today. Looking at the Weekly Reversal (multiple 5% reversals), it is trading well under a major S/R (Support and Resistance Price Level) of $26,184.00. And The Index today is about to cross under 0% annualized growth rate over the past 200 day ma. There are a bunch of RSI “Sells” going back 2 weeks, way in advance of today’s tweet.
Dow Jones 30 Index $DJI Weekly lookbacks Reversal chart:
..the Bull trend continues ..
Trend following The S&P 500 Index $SPX end of week,.. another Upward week over week.
The Index remains in a strong Upward trend, at or exceeding, over a 200 day ma, 15% annualized growth rate.
The Weekly chart:
The 15% annualized growth rate chart:
So this thing certainly is not on the Bullish Trend List.
Trend following the sell-off, The Gold Miners Index $GDM $GDX is testing another S/R (Support and Resistance Price Level) at $576.60. So this thing certainly is not on the Bullish Trend List. When it returns to a trend in excess of, or at a minimum of, 10% annualized over 200 days ma, it’ll be back on the Upward Trend List. This index is one of 20 we monitor.
Market Chart 63 day, daily: