the index is trying to rally
To begin to re-establish a long term Upward trend, we want to see it overcome the S/R (Support and resistance price level) of the High of last week – $2,841. This will help to show us that The Fed tweet is more than a short covering rally. Currently the Index is trading below a 10% annualized rate of growth over a 200 day ma.
Stock chart of the S&P 500 index
Trend following The Nasdaq 100 Index, after the close today, has reestablished it’s momentum at or exceeding a 10% annualized rate of growth, over a 200 day ma.
This is trend following, – no forecasts, no predictions, no personal opinions.
Nasdaq 100 Index
Trend following The S&P 500 Index today, trading at $2,811 at the moment, is trading under last month’s low of $2,848 and under last week’s low of $2,825, but above a major Price Reversal of $2,799 on the Weekly as shown on the stock chart below. If it rejects this level, and then closes higher on the Weekly, that will be a long term Bullish…aka BTD, or “Buy The Dip”.
S&P 500 Index Weekly
Trend following the S&P 500 Index this morning. It is challenging that gap Up Breakout back on April 1st (red circle on the chart). That was the market valuation then at $2,845, todays valuation is $2,845. And obviously the market bought that as undervalued.
So we’ll see what the market values today and this week. The all time highs, 52 week highs, the new highs, are all pretty much irrelevant at this point. Those Highs have been rejected, or, not elected. Can the market get back up there? ..of course.
For the new readers, this is about pure trend following. No predictions, no forecasts.
trading well under Reversals
Trend following the Dow Jones Industrials Index $DJI today. Looking at the Weekly Reversal (multiple 5% reversals), it is trading well under a major S/R (Support and Resistance Price Level) of $26,184.00. And The Index today is about to cross under 0% annualized growth rate over the past 200 day ma. There are a bunch of RSI “Sells” going back 2 weeks, way in advance of today’s tweet.
Dow Jones 30 Index $DJI Weekly lookbacks Reversal chart:
So this thing certainly is not on the Bullish Trend List.
Trend following the sell-off, The Gold Miners Index $GDM $GDX is testing another S/R (Support and Resistance Price Level) at $576.60. So this thing certainly is not on the Bullish Trend List. When it returns to a trend in excess of, or at a minimum of, 10% annualized over 200 days ma, it’ll be back on the Upward Trend List. This index is one of 20 we monitor.
Market Chart 63 day, daily:
The S&P 500 Index this week, closed at $2,939.88. which is a close over last week’s High, of $2,918, and over last Month’s High which was $2,860. So this is another in a continuing series of Bullish trend following signals, whether they be Daily, Weekly, Monthly. As of today the Index is trending at or in excess of a 15% annualized rate of growth over a 200 day ma look back. The Index has yet to close over the all time intraday High of $2,940. 91.
This chart is the S&P 500 Index Weeklies: